GENEVA, 26 May. - (ANA) - Weather and climate experts predict a high likelihood of below-average rainfall for the northern Greater Horn of Africa during the critical rainy season from June through September, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) said on Wednesday. 

 

The outlook was issued by the East Africa-based IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC), which is part of the wider WMO regional network. 

 

It raises concerns for key sectors, with likely impacts on cultivation, water availability, livestock systems, hydropower generation, food security, and public health. 

 

The June to September rains account for over 50 per cent of annual rainfall in the northern and western parts of the Greater Horn of Africa, and more than 80 per cent in most parts of Sudan. 

 

Drier conditions 

The forecast points to drier-than-usual conditions in South Sudan, Uganda, Ethiopia, Djibouti, much of Eritrea, Sudan, and western and coastal Kenya.  

 

The highest probability is projected for central, northeastern and northwestern Ethiopia; southern Sudan, and northern Uganda, where the likelihood of below-normal rainfall exceeds 60 per cent and reaches up to 80 per cent in northeastern Ethiopia. 

 

Meanwhile, isolated areas in northern Sudan, southeastern Ethiopia, and southern and northern Somalia are expected to receive enhanced rainfall. 

 

Areas of northern Sudan, southern coastal Somalia and Kenya are forecast to receive near-normal rainfall. - (ANA) -

 

AB/ANA/26 May 2026 - - -